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Devils in Detail - March 2013
 
NCAA: Devils Hold Off #15 Hampton, 67-51
The Nutshell
2013 NCAA Durham Preview
By Rob Clough
March 22, 2013

Devils Host Hampton, DePaul, and Oklahoma State


Norfolk Region (Durham, NC)

#2 Duke vs #15 Hampton

When: Sunday, March 24th, 12:05 pm
Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium
Record: 28-5, 16-0 MEAC, RPI #79 (from realtimerpi.com)
TV: ESPN Networks including WatchESPN/ESPN3

Last Meeting: March 20, 2010: Duke Broadsides Hampton, 72-37 (NCAA)

The Roster: The Lady Pirates play their top six big minutes in close games, and they're a nice blend of experience and youth. The team is lead by wing Keira Avant (16 ppg, 10 rpg) and guard Nicole Hamilton (12 ppg, 5 apg). Alyssa Bennett (10 ppg, 7 rpg) and Ariel Phelps (3 ppg, 4 rpg) patrol the paint, while guards Olivia Allen (12 ppg, 34% 3FG) and Keira Cole (5 ppg) bomb away from long range.

Hampton coach David Six leads the Pirates back into Cameron four years after Duke defeated them 72-37 in an NCAA first round matchup. Hampton coach David Six leads the Pirates back into Cameron four years after Duke defeated them 72-37 in an NCAA first round matchup.
The Skinny: Hampton is the top defensive team in the country, holding opponents to just 47 ppg and 32% from the floor. It's not just a pace thing, either; the Lady Pirates force 21 turnovers a game and block 5 shots a game. They get a lot of points from turnovers and their coach, David Six, has built a program that always does a few things on a consistent basis. He has multiple players who can score, even if he lacks shooters (Allen is the only regular who shoots over break-even percentages from long range). He still has his players shoot to stretch the floor (a very smart decision) and the rest of the time has his quick players attack the rim. The Pirates go to the line an average of 20 times a game, with Avant leading the way with 6 FT attempts per game. His players are fairly small (tallest regular is 6-2) but are tough and physical. The Pirates aren't afraid of BCS competition, having beaten LSU, Boston College and Mississippi State. This is a proud team that's won sixteen games in a row and will again be bringing plenty of fans to Cameron.

The Matchup: The bad news for the Lady Pirates is that they haven't faced a player like Elizabeth Williams all year. They will undoubtedly try to double-team her immediately, but they'll have to keep her off the offensive boards. Hampton will have a tall order in shutting off Alexis Jones' penetration, Williams' production inside and the shooting of Tricia Liston and Haley Peters. They don't have the depth or size to contest everything, so they'll likely try to keep Jones out of the lane and spy on Williams. That will leave lots of open jump shots for Liston and Peters, who will need to mix it up on offense instead of just jacking up shots. The physical presence of Richa Jackson will be another factor that could trouble Hampton. They will try to force Duke into mistakes, so Jones and Peters in particular need to be careful with the ball, because Hampton will pounce on them if they pick up their dribbles. Defensively, Duke just needs to keep the Lady Pirates out of the lane and away from the free throw line. They don't have the size to get easy points inside by posting up (though they will try to get Williams into foul trouble), and Duke ideally wants them taking contested jump shots off the dribble instead of from connecting passes. I suspect the game will be fairly close for a while, but a Duke run will give them breathing room as they use their extended bench.


#7 Oklahoma State vs. #10 DePaul (30 minutes after first game)

#10 DePaul

Record: 21-11, 9-7 Big East, RPI #26

Roster: The starting five of the Blue Demons has dominated their available minutes this season. The leading scorer is guard Brittany Hrynko (15 ppg, 5 rpg, 4 apg, 2 spg). She does a little of everything for her team. Wing Jasmine Penny puts up 13 ppg and 5 rpg, while guard Anna Martin chips in with 16 ppg in 23 games (she missed several weeks with an injury); DePaul is much better when she's around. Post Katherine Harry contributes 9 ppg and 11 rpg, while guard Chanise Jenkins puts up 8 ppg.

The Skinny: This is a team that went through the Big East wars and pulled out a few good wins, such as Louisville and Rutgers. They also narrowly defeated Hampton, interestingly enough. DePaul likes to run in its "Bruno Ball" style of play, but the result was a negative rebounding margin and a lot of games where they gave up 80 or more points. Teams that don't like to play fast will be bothered by their ball pressure, especially from Hrynko. The Blue Demons use that up-tempo style to get to the foul line, which is important because they're not a great shooting team nor a team that really stops people. They have faced brutal competition, however, and won't be afraid to play Duke after playing both UConn and Notre Dame. Their scoring balance gives them a puncher's chance of beating most teams.

#7 Oklahoma State

Record: 21-10, 9-9 Big XII, RPI #38

Roster: OK State also runs a very tight rotation, led by rugged 6-2 forward Toni Young (16 ppg, 10 rpg, 2 bpg). Wing Liz Donohoe (15 ppg, 37% 3FG), point guard Tiffany Bias (12 ppg, 6 apg), guard Brittney Martin (10 ppg, 6 rpg) and post Kendra Suttles (10 ppg, 5 rpg) complete a starting lineup that is quite similar to DePaul in terms of balance.

The Skinny: The Cowgirls were within 8 points of #1 Baylor in the Big XII title game. This is a tough, battle-tested team that has wins over Kansas, Iowa State, West Virginia and Oklahoma. They are afraid of no one and love to mix it up. Despite being undersized, they're a very good rebounding club (+7 on the year). They also play aggressive defense, forcing 18 turnovers a game. I suspect they will slow down DePaul and turn the tables on them in terms of defensive pressure. Look for OK State to dominate on the glass and make a big run to take control of the game. If they win, they will give Duke a very tough game, assuming the Devils make it to the next round.



Devils in Detail - March 2013
 
NCAA: Devils Hold Off #15 Hampton, 67-51
The Nutshell

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