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![]() #2 Duke Outlasts #10 Marist, 71-66 Player by Player | ![]() #2 Duke Holds Off #3 DePaul, 70-63 The Nutshell |
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#2 Seed Duke vs. #3 Seed DePaulSunday, March 27th, 2:30 PM, Liacouras Center (Televised on ESPN2)Last Meeting: March 14, 1997: Duke 70, DePaul 56 (NCAA Tournament) Current Records: Duke 31-3 (12-2 ACC), DePaul 29-6 (13-3 Big East) Current Rankings: Duke #6, DePaul #10
The Skinny: This is a veteran squad, with many of the seniors recruited by Sam Williams when she was an assistant with the Blue Demons. Coach Doug Bruno loves to run the ball up and down the floor, averaging 74 ppg. His team forces 19 turnovers a game but only commits 15; it's very much controlled chaos. The Blue Demons don't play smallball, with their starting frontline going 6-3, 6-3 and 6-2. Their rotation is a tight eight women, with Pikes and Harry roughly splitting time and Nauhgton filling in at the three. Threatt will only come in to give Quigley a little break; I expect Quigley to play at least 35 minutes against Duke. Simply put, DePaul is a superb offensive team, capable of dropping 80 or 90 points on good teams like Georgetown and Stanford. The Demons whipped Stanford by 20 points thanks to shooting 60% from the field and 50% from three. On the other hand, they got whipped on the road by a mediocre Arizona State squad when they got pounded on the boards. It's not simplifying things much to say that rebounding is the key to the game. In the games that DePaul lost, they came up short in the rebounding department. Getting more rebounds got the team more possessions, a simple concept that becomes all the more clear for DePaul because their offense is so efficient. The Matchup: DePaul is bigger than Marist, but I think Duke actually matches up with them a bit better. They're a little smaller than Duke and have three players who really shoot threes. They're athletic, but no moreso than Duke. They know that they can't post up on Duke, so they will look to take them outside the way they did Stanford. That's why Quigley is their key. She will try to penetrate and pitch in an effort to chase off Duke's bigs the way that Marist did. The Devils have to do a better job of cutting off penetration and rotating over to the open shooter, or else DePaul will get the kind of shots that Marist did. Duke needs to wear Quigley down, force her to make bad decisions and cut her off from the rest of the team. Jasmine Thomas and Chelsea Gray will have their work cut out for them in doing so. On offense, Duke will have an inside advantage, though Harry can block shots if the Devils put up lazy shots. Hampton is extremely foul-prone, so Duke (and Karima Christmas in particular) need to take the ball right at her. If she's out of the game, Duke will have a real chance to swing momentum and build a working margin. This isn't a game where Duke will want to press that much; instead, they need to slow tempo and pound the boards. Christmas and Haley Peters could be significant x-factors here if they can grab offensive boards.
The bottom line is that DePaul is a great offensive team that can easily whip
good opponents if allowed to run unchecked. They are not a great defensive
team and opponents can get extra possessions by hitting the boards. If Duke
tries to play DePaul's game, they will lose. If Duke can get DePaul to play
their tempo, pound them on the boards and take away a couple of their offensive
options, then they will win. Duke will need to get the kind of balanced scoring
they've received in many of their recent wins; more good performances by Peters
and Gray would be hard for DePaul to handle. UConn may lurk at the top of the
bracket, but Duke has a lot of work to do before they can even think about
climbing that mountain.
Duke-DePaul Tidbits by Orin Day:
And in the other half of the Philadelphia bracket...
#1 UConnRecord: 34-1 (16-0 Big East)
The Skinny: Since Duke last saw UConn, they've continued to mow down every opponent in sight. The only teams to give them a challenge were West Virginia and Georgetown, interestingly enough. What they have in common is that they play unusually sticky defense and managed to keep the game in the 50s. That occurred in part because UConn didn't shoot well in either game. UConn seemed to peak in late February, as they've not quite been the same juggernaut since that time. That's no surprise, given their abbreviated roster that lost another player in post Heather Buck. She didn't get huge minutes but did help reduce wear and tear during blowouts. The manic intensity that Duke saw isn't quite there in the same abundance, which is not to say that UConn still isn't the prohibitive favorite to three-peat. They'll simply have to work a little harder, and Georgetown will be a real test. The Huskies turned the ball over a lot against the Hoyas and didn't dominate on the boards. If they can stop Georgetown from getting easy scores, then their own formidable defense should help them grind out a win. They must beware Georgetown's very tricky press, however. It just seems highly unlikely that Maya Moore will have her career ended in the Sweet Sixteen.
#5 GeorgetownRecord: 24-10 (9-7 Big East)
The Skinny: It's perhaps stating the obvious that Georgetown is peaking
at the right time and got a good geographic draw despite being just a five
seed. Yes, they did have to face Maryland on its home floor, but they had
beaten the Terps once before and this was essentially a backyard brawl. Now
they're just a train ride away in Philly, leaving them in a nice comfort zone.
The Hoyas were absolutely on fire against Maryland's zone, rebounded well and
essentially ran the Terps right out of their own gym. Against a Maryland team
that had shown steady improvement all year, it was an incredibly impressive
win. That said, the Hoyas are the very model of a streaky team. When they're
hitting threes, they can beat anyone. When they're not hitting shots, they are
vulnerable. Their defensive pressure, under impressive young coach Terri
Williams-Flournoy, is unrelenting and fits its personnel quite snugly. This
group loves to run, loves to get after opponents and loves to play sticky
defense. Unlike many teams, they have no fear whatsoever of UConn and are
happy to go toe-to-toe with them. It's clear that their style bothers and
annoys the Huskies, especially since Georgetown is always able to stay within
shouting distance on the boards. That said, I just don't see a repeat of
Georgetown's shooting performance against Maryland. If you can't put up some
points against the Huskies, you may as well go home. I expect Maya Moore to
have a huge game, breaking open an otherwise close struggle.
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![]() #2 Duke Outlasts #10 Marist, 71-66 Player by Player | ![]() #2 Duke Holds Off #3 DePaul, 70-63 The Nutshell |